The Mathematics of Criminal Behavior: Modeling and Experiments

Series
Applied and Computational Mathematics Seminar
Time
Monday, October 1, 2012 - 2:00pm for 1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Location
Skiles 005
Speaker
Martin Short – UCLA Math department – http://www.math.ucla.edu/~mbshort/
Organizer
Luca Dieci
In this era of "big data", Mathematics as it applies to human behavior is becoming a much more relevant and penetrable topic of research. This holds true even for some of the less desirable forms of human behavior, such as crime. In this talk, I will discuss the mathematical modeling of crime on two different "scales", as well as the results of experiments that are being performed to test the usefulness and accuracy of these models. First, I will present a data-driven model of crime hotspots at the scale of neighborhoods -- adapted from literature on earthquake predictions -- along with the results of this model's application within the LAPD. Second, I will describe a game-theoretic model of crime and punishment at the scale of a society, and compare the model to results of lab-based economic experiments performed by myself and collaborators.