The Mathematics of Criminal Behavior: Modeling and Experiments

Applied and Computational Mathematics Seminar
Monday, October 1, 2012 - 2:00pm
1 hour (actually 50 minutes)
Skiles 005
UCLA Math department
In this era of "big data", Mathematics as it applies to human behavior is becoming a much more relevant and penetrable topic of research.  This holds true even for some of the less desirable forms of human behavior, such as crime.  In this talk, I will discuss  the mathematical modeling of crime on two different "scales", as well  as the results of experiments that are being performed to test the usefulness and accuracy of these models.  First, I will present a  data-driven model of crime hotspots at the scale of neighborhoods -- adapted from literature on earthquake predictions -- along with the results of this model's application within the LAPD.  Second, I will describe a game-theoretic model of crime and punishment at the scale  of a society, and compare the model to results of lab-based economic  experiments performed by myself and collaborators.